Minnesota
W-L: (24-13) PR = 98.1977Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 925 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 7- 1 926 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 1- 0 1003 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 5- 0 1004 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 5- 2 1010 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 1011 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 5- 3 1018 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 1019 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 6- 3 1024 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 4- 0 1025 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 3- 2 1031 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 5- 1 1101 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 7 1114 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 6- 2 1115 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 9- 2 1121 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 3 1122 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 4 1205 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 5- 3 1206 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 1 102 A Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 4- 0 103 A Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 4- 2 109 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 3 110 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 4- 3 116 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 3 117 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 1 123 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 8- 1 124 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 5- 1 130 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 2 131 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 6 206 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 1 207 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 1- 1 213 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 4 214 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 220 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 221 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 1- 2 227 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 0- 1 228 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 301 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 6- 1 305 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 4 314 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
925 H Boston College 7- 1 6 4 + 2.15
1003 A Boston University 5- 0 5 4 1.46
1004 A Boston University 5- 2 3 4 -0.54
1010 H St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 2 0.92
1011 A St. Cloud State 5- 3 2 1 0.71
1018 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.69
1019 H Ohio State 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.31
1024 A Minnesota Duluth 4- 0 4 0 + 3.88
1025 A Minnesota Duluth 3- 2 1 0 0.88
1031 A Wisconsin 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.00
1101 A Wisconsin 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.00
1114 H Bemidji State 6- 2 4 4 0.44
1115 H Bemidji State 9- 2 7 4 + 3.44
1121 H Minnesota State 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.03
1122 A Minnesota State 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.25
1205 A St. Thomas 5- 3 2 2 0.36
1206 H St. Thomas 4- 1 3 2 0.57
102 A Sacred Heart 4- 0 4 5 -0.54
103 A Sacred Heart 4- 2 2 5 - -2.54
109 A Minnesota State 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.25
110 H Minnesota State 4- 3 1 2 -1.03
116 A Bemidji State 5- 3 2 3 -0.77
117 A Bemidji State 1- 1 0 3 - -2.77
123 A St. Cloud State 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.71
124 H St. Cloud State 5- 1 4 2 1.92
130 H Wisconsin 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.22
131 H Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.78
206 A St. Thomas 4- 1 3 2 1.36
207 H St. Thomas 1- 1 0 2 - -2.43
213 A Ohio State 2- 4 -2 -2 0.09
214 A Ohio State 1- 3 -2 -2 0.09
220 H Minnesota Duluth 2- 3 -1 1 -1.91
221 H Minnesota Duluth 1- 2 -1 1 -1.91
228 H St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 2 0.92
301 H St. Cloud State 6- 1 5 2 + 2.92
305 A Ohio State 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.91
314 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Minnesota State 1- 3 -2 2 -- -4.03 1122 A Minnesota State 1- 4 -3 1 -- -4.25 314 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 2 -- -4.01 1101 A Wisconsin 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.00 103 A Sacred Heart 4- 2 2 5 - -2.54 109 A Minnesota State 1- 3 -2 1 - -3.25 117 A Bemidji State 1- 1 0 3 - -2.77 131 H Wisconsin 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.78 207 H St. Thomas 1- 1 0 2 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1031 A Wisconsin 5- 1 4 -2 +++ 6.00 1019 H Ohio State 6- 3 3 -1 ++ 4.31 123 A St. Cloud State 8- 1 7 1 ++ 5.71 925 H Boston College 7- 1 6 4 + 2.15 1024 A Minnesota Duluth 4- 0 4 0 + 3.88 1115 H Bemidji State 9- 2 7 4 + 3.44 130 H Wisconsin 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.22 301 H St. Cloud State 6- 1 5 2 + 2.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 7- 1 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 4.60
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 1- 0 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.94 4.60
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 5- 0 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.94 5.18
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 5- 2 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.94 5.18
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.94 7.93
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.94 9.41
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.94 -0.18
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 6- 3 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.94 14.29
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 4- 0 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.94 11.60
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.94 11.60
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 5- 1 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.94 15.59
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 7 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.94 -0.14
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 6- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.94 5.15
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 9- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.94 5.15
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.94 -1.38
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 5- 3 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.94 8.75
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 1 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.94 7.27
3 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 4- 0 -6.64 1.37 0.39 0.94 3.31
3 A Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 4- 2 -6.64 1.37 0.39 0.94 3.31
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.94 -1.38
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 4- 3 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.94 8.02
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 3 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.94 6.63
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 1 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.94 0.00
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 8- 1 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.94 9.41
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 5- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.94 7.93
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 3- 2 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.94 14.12
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 6 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.94 -0.23
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 1 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.94 8.75
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 1- 1 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.94 0.00
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 4 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.94 -0.18
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.94 -0.18
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 0.94 -1.23
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 1- 2 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 0.94 -1.23
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 0- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.94 -1.77
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.94 7.93
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 6- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.94 7.93
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 4 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.94 -0.18
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.94 -1.75
------
182.03
|
winning pts = 193.6270 losing points = -11.5975
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------